The Mystery
Jeph Loeb and Tim Sale's The
Long Halloween is one of the classic Batman stories, telling the story of a
year early in the caped crimefighter's career, working the existing origin tale
of Two Face into a new mystery of their own creation. The story is, in large
part, a whodunit, with a mystery serial killer named Holiday who attacks once a
month on major holidays over the course of a year. Despite the abundance of
information given to us, the identity of the killer remains somewhat in doubt at
story's end because of contradictory confessions, evidence of multiple killers,
and other ambiguous clues.
There are 13 dates on which Holiday strikes at one or more
victims:
Halloween #1: Johnny Vito (dead)
Thanksgiving: The Irish Gang (5 dead)
Christmas: Milos Grappa (dead)
New Year's Eve: Alberto Falcone (faked his death)
Valentine's Day: Sal Maroni's men (4 dead)
St. Patrick's Day: Sal Maroni's men (about 10 dead)
April Fools Day: The Riddler (many shots fired, deliberately
missing)
Mother's Day: The gunsmith (dead)
Father's Day: Luigi Maroni (dead)
Independence Day: The coroner (dead)
Roman Holiday: Carla Viti (dead)
Labor Day: Sal Maroni (dead, shot by Alberto Falcone)
Halloween #2: Carmine Falcone and Vernon Fields (dead, shot
by Harvey Dent)
We know the killers on the last two dates. We also have two
confessions, with Alberto Falcone telling the police that he committed all of
the Holiday murders up until his capture, and Gilda Dent, speaking to herself,
telling us that she carried out the first three murders and that she believes
that her husband Harvey committed the rest. In addition, Harvey Dent says that
there were two Holiday Killers; either he’s referring to Gilda and Alberto, or
a third killer is implicated.
Years after the story was published, there is no universal
consensus: Who was Holiday? Similar arguments have appeared in different
corners of the Internet, and new readers keep following similar paths: Three
suspects remain. But who really did it? Who is Holiday? Who killed who?
Solutions
Besides the known killings on the last two dates, there are
three common solutions proposed for the first eleven Holiday events:
Solution A:
Alberto was the only killer, excepting Harvey Dent committing the final two
murders. This is what Alberto's confession asserted, and it's also what Batman
concluded. This theory is strongest if it is assumed that Alberto's father,
Carmine "The Roman" Falcone was coordinating and assisting the
shootings. Solution A would mean that Gilda's confession is false, and because
she's speaking only to herself, it would mean that she is delusional.
Solution GA:
Gilda committed the first three murders, then Alberto committed all the rest.
Nobody in the story actually believes this, but it's perhaps the most common
reader theory. It accepts Gilda's confession as true insofar as the facts that
she could know of, and Alberto's as partly true but partly exaggerated.
Solution GAH:
Gilda, Alberto, and Harvey each committed some of the murders. This theory
contradicts every person in the story, to some extent, but some readers still
favor it.
I believe that a careful examination of the facts strongly
discredits Solution GAH, and goes a long way to disprove Solution GA. Solution
A is the best explanation of the story, but there's a small chance that Loeb
had Solution GA in mind.
There are five lines of reasoning that strengthen Solution
A. Most or all of these have been discussed before.
Evidence 1 -
Opportunity: It is evident that Gilda would have had a tough time
committing the three crimes she claims. This is especially true for the second
one, on Thanksgiving. Gilda was hospitalized and on an I.V. at the time, but
she claims that she snuck out of the hospital. Here's what that would have
entailed:
Although she was so impaired that she needed one more month
in the hospital, and even in late December, she was still advised to take it
easy. But she claims she snuck out of the hospital and returned undetected.
While outside she needed to obtain a "Holiday" gun. Her house was
blown up, so either she retrieved one from the wreckage, or bought one and had
it prepared, or she had stored one somewhere outside her home (even though she
was injured very shortly after the first Holiday murder). Then she needed to
find the Irish Gang. This wouldn't be easy, because as of hours earlier, they
were in jail and there was no evidence they would be freed. The location where
they were found was not where Mickey lived (Batman confronted him there). The
door had a DO NOT DISTURB sign, which should probably mean the door was locked,
but Holiday opens it somehow. Then the shooter outgunned five men. Then Gilda
returned to the hospital, without anyone noticing that she was missing.
Few of these difficulties would apply to Alberto. The Irish
Gang was picked up from jail in a limousine, certainly paid for by Carmine.
Carmine would have arranged their suite, and could have allowed Alberto a way
in. His comings and goings would not have been limited in any way that we know
of. Outshooting the whole gang is still hard to explain, no matter who the
shooter is, but Alberto, at least, was not suffering a head injury at the time.
Similar, but less compelling, constraints apply to Gilda's
opportunity to commit the Halloween and Christmas shootings. Moreover, as the
Dents were short of money, even the means to buy and dispose of several guns is
somewhat strained, whereas the Falcones were literally overflowing with cash.
Batman finds metal filed off of a gun in the Dents'
basement, but this does not implicate Gilda. We know that Harvey had a Holiday
gun at the end: He could have made it in their basement. Moreover, if Gilda had
filed metal off a gun for the first two killings, it probably wouldn't have
remained in their vise after their home was blown up. (Although perhaps the
vise would have been salvaged in a clean state from the wreckage.)
Evidence 2 -
Coincidental Coordination: Solutions GA and GAH posit that multiple killers
who were not coordinated somehow managed to strike once and only once on
several consecutive holidays without missing a month or striking twice on the
same night. It is particularly implausible that the three switched on and off
many times while maintaining the pristine pattern. It is somewhat less unlikely
if there was only one "switch," with Gilda committing the first three,
then Alberto the rest. The New Year event actually took place in the final
moments of December (there was no Holiday event in January), and only 6 days
after the Christmas one. This might have given "Holiday #2" the best
chance to pre-empt "Holiday #1" without an overlap, but it still
requires that Holiday #1 stopped after Holiday #2 struck for the first time.
There is also an implausible coincidence if we imagine that
two different killers both chose the same disguise. We know that Alberto wore a
hat when he shot Sal Maroni. We saw that Holiday wore a hat from May through
September, but didn't see Holiday's head for any of the other shootings. Gilda
claimed to have worn a hat (Harvey's) as well. How could they choose the same
disguise? Gilda could have read about Alberto wearing a hat in the newspaper
after he was arrested (we know that she had such a newspaper). It's much less
likely that Gilda would have chosen such a disguise first, and then Alberto
accidentally copied it.
Further, Alberto finally provides an explanation for why
holidays were chosen for the crimes: He was born on a holiday and chose the
dates to assert his significance. It is utterly implausible for Gilda to have
chosen the first three dates on the basis of Alberto being born on a holiday.
This only makes sense if Gilda chose the holiday motif and it's purely a
coincidence that Alberto was born on one. However, if Alberto was being guided
by Carmine, it requires that Alberto chose the holiday motif while Carmine set
the overall direction.
Evidence 3 -
Handedness: Some readers have noticed that the gun hand changes from one
Holiday shooting to another. Harvey is seen to shoot Carmine using his left
hand, while Albero and Gilda appear to be right-handed. This would support
Solution GAH. (It is also indicated by blood on Harvey's right hand and sleeve
that he shot Vernon Fields with his right hand, making him an ambidextrous
shooter.)
However, this unravels upon a closer look. One, the gun hand
in the Christmas scene switches from left to right, which suggests that gun
hand is simply a detail that artist Tim Sale wasn't concerned with. Two, it is
possible that the shooter had a gun in each hand, which would require that both
hands be used. Three, in the sequel, Dark
Victory, we see Alberto shoot with his left hand, even though he used his
right hand in Long Halloween, making
Alberto himself ambidextrous, or the detail simply unimportant.
Moreover, when we see a Holiday gun being made in September,
there is one panel showing the hands on a vise in such a way that we should see
the gun-maker's body behind the hands, but instead we see a wall of tools. This
minor error reinforces the idea that the art is subject to mistakes, and therefore,
the handedness does not constitute significant support for Solution GAH.
Evidence 4 - Gilda's
Logic: Gilda's confession has multiple logical problems suggesting that she
is delusional. Most salient is this: Her stated motive is that by killing
gangsters she would be reducing Harvey's workload. This is dubious in the best
of circumstances, but we have seen earlier that she herself doesn't believe it:
On New Years Eve, she tells Barbara Gordon that the Holiday situation is
increasing Harvey's workload. And that shouldn't have been an unexpected
outcome: Of course, a serial killer on the loose could only add to Harvey's
worries, whereas killing a few marginal gangsters would do nothing to eliminate
his larger problem concerning the Roman. Gilda shouldn't, and doesn't, believe
her own motive.
Gilda claims that she got the idea for Holiday by reading
Harvey's files. But when she confronted him about a gun in their basement, and
he said that he brought evidence home, she seemed surprised by that. If she
read Harvey's files, they were presumably at home, unless she read his files in
his office. Moreover, she was upset by having found the gun, not supportive of
it. The 180° turn in tone between the basement scene and her confession
indicate that she is idolizing Harvey and whitewashing the crimes that she
thinks he committed by adding a role of her own.
Additionally, she believes that Alberto was actually shot,
which we know didn't take place. She might have incomplete knowledge of the
details, but the fact that Alberto turned up alive should have caused her to
question if he was shot at all.
Finally, Gilda's confession is the only reason whatsoever to
believe that she committed any of the crimes. But it directly contradicts
Alberto's confession. If we have to assume that one confession is false, hers
is the more likely false, as it creates so many other contradictions. The only
reason to suspect Alberto's as false is because of Gilda's, but Alberto
unquestionably committed at least one murder, and almost certainly more,
whereas we have no proof of Gilda having committed any of them.
Evidence 5 - The
Carmine Falcone connection: Circumstantial evidence strongly suggests that
Carmine Falcone was directing the entire sequence of Holiday crimes.
Superficially, the first four Holiday shootings struck at
Carmine's interests, while most of them after that targeted his rivals.
However, none of the first four actually killed anyone that wasn't in some way
suspect from Carmine's perspective. Johnny Viti had earlier been targeted by
Carmine. The Irish Gang were outsiders, and Harvey Dent imagined that Carmine
might kill them if their allegiance was suspect. Milos had failed to protect
Carmine from repeated invasions of his homes. And Alberto seemed to be a
killing that was intolerable to Carmine, but it was faked and didn't actually
take place. The logic of someone deliberately performing a hit that worked
against them to remove suspicion from themselves is offered elsewhere in the
story.
The timing of the Holiday crimes, of witnesses and victims
coming and going, suggests that Carmine was choreographing the events around
many of the Holiday shootings. This is especially true of the later events, but
true of the very first ones as well.
Known coordination:
Thanksgiving: The Irish Gang was picked up in a limousine
and taken to a fancy hotel. This presumably put them in a time and place that
Carmine Falcone arranged.
New Years: Carmine told Carla to go find Alberto, and
because of his command, she "discovered" the evidence of the (fake)
killing.
St. Patrick's Day: Sofia, under Carmine's orders, arrives
shortly after the killing took place, making it appear to be a Holiday killing
instead of a hit ordered by Carmine Falcone.
April Fools: Riddler is confronted by Holiday in a time and
place exactly where Carmine had just sent him. Sofia avoids being a witness or
interfering because Carmine told her to "come right back."
Mother's Day: The gunsmith is killed very shortly before
Sofia arrives.
Plausible
coordination:
Halloween: Carmine could have known that Johnny Viti was
home, or ordered it to be the case. Gilda could not have made this happen.
Christmas: Carmine could have known that Milos was about to
go outside. Gilda could not have predicted this.
Roman Holiday: Carla was pursuing the Holiday case with
Sofia. The lead that sent her to the coroner's office could have been sent to
her by Carmine.
Protecting Alberto:
Presumably, killing the gunsmith and the coroner were two
events that only served to protect Alberto's identity. The gun metal found in
the Dent's basement probably came from Harvey making the gun he used for the
final killings. The gunsmith made the other guns for Alberto, and he was killed
to keep him silent. Consider the timing: He was killed immediately after his
identity was discovered by Sofia; this, plausibly, could have been arranged by
Carmine. The Dents couldn't have possibly have timed this correctly. The
coroner also knew of Alberto's fake death, and was killed to assure his
silence.
The first gun:
If we take the sequence in the art literally, the first Holiday
gun was made many weeks before the first murder, on the same night that Johnny
Viti killed Richard Daniel, and before the Dents (or Gordons) learned about
that murder. This timing would have been wildly coincidental if Gilda or Harvey
were preparing the gun, but is plausible if Johnny Viti's return from Italy set
into motion a plan by the Falcones to kill several people, starting with him.
Carmine and Alberto:
On the surface, Carmine seems to disrespect Alberto. He
makes comments that are dismissive of Alberto in June and August, but only when
other people are listening. On Thanksgiving, Carmine seems affectionate with
him when they're alone, and on New Years Eve, Carmine thinks (one of the few
thought balloons in the entire story), "If it weren't for Alberto, there'd
be nobody I could trust." This supports the idea that his disrespect for
Alberto is a sham to facilitate using Alberto to commit the killings
unsuspected.
Both the Riddler and Batman see this solution from different
sides, with the Riddler guessing that Carmine is Holiday, while Batman ends the
story convinced that Alberto committed the killings and Carmine knew about
them.
Evidence 6 - Two
Face's Comment:
Harvey "Two Face" Dent makes a surprising comment
when he remarks to Jim Gordon and Batman, "You both know, don't you? There
were two Holiday killers." This would seemingly contradict Solution A and
indicate that either Harvey or Gilda performed some of the rest.
However, Batman provides the logical way out: Harvey killed
people with a Holiday gun on Halloween. He was the second Holiday killer, but
not responsible for any of the other events. His strange phrasing that seems to
indicate a reveal is explained by his obsession with the number two. This is
highlighted by his previous utterance, "One second"
("second" has two meanings; the time unit and the second in a
sequence).
Conclusion
By any realistic reasoning, Gilda could not have committed
the Thanksgiving shooting, and the massive web of circumstantial evidence
indicates that there was only one Holiday shooter, who was Alberto Falcone,
working for his father, Carmine.
The only argument for Gilda's guilt would be this: It is a
comic book story, inhabited by fantastic people such as Batman, the Joker, and
Solomon Grundy, and the problems with her carrying out the shooting and the
enormous number of coincidences indicating that Carmine Falcone is ordering the
hits have to be forgiven as things that happen in comic books.
But this would make the mystery a weak mystery. Yes, in the
DC Universe, where little blue aliens command a race of green space cops, and
psychics and the undead team up with magicians and robots, we can imagine
anything to be possible. But who is really capable of sneaking out in the
middle of a two-month hospital stay and carrying out an intricate
assassination? Batman is, to be sure, but, as the Joker tells Harvey Dent,
"You're no Batman," neither is Gilda Dent in the Batman class of
capabilities.
I can imagine a writer shrugging off such pragmatic concerns
and feeling that a last-minute confession is a great ending that trumps
realism. But the sheer number of clues that implicate the Falcones weren't
likely placed there by coincidence. I think Jeph Loeb intended Alberto Falcone
to be recognized as the only Holiday. Ultimately, solving the mystery depends
not on the story, which leaves a slim chance of Gilda's guilt, but on reading
the author's intentions. And I can't be sure that Loeb meant for a reader to
find all of the pieces of evidence that make Gilda's confession seem
implausible, but I suspect that he did.